Well rounded summary, Reid. Generally we all tolerate uncertainties about general weather forecasts, even if we grumble when get caught in an unexpected 1 minute rain shower.
Yet somehow we expect the forecasts of ex-tropical cyclones and convective thunderstorms (with intense rain) to be bang on - when in fact there is a higher uncertainty associated with pinning these two weather systems down ahead of time - even just hours ahead.
Well rounded summary, Reid. Generally we all tolerate uncertainties about general weather forecasts, even if we grumble when get caught in an unexpected 1 minute rain shower.
Yet somehow we expect the forecasts of ex-tropical cyclones and convective thunderstorms (with intense rain) to be bang on - when in fact there is a higher uncertainty associated with pinning these two weather systems down ahead of time - even just hours ahead.